{"id":33786,"date":"2024-02-05T13:15:43","date_gmt":"2024-02-05T13:15:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/?p=33786"},"modified":"2024-02-05T13:15:44","modified_gmt":"2024-02-05T13:15:44","slug":"istanbulda-70-80-bin-yapinin-cokmesi-bekleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/2024\/02\/05\/istanbulda-70-80-bin-yapinin-cokmesi-bekleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130stanbul\u2019da 70-80 bin yap\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6kmesi bekleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 10 kentinde b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u0131k\u0131ma yol a\u00e7an Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli deprem felaketinin \u00fczerinden 1 y\u0131l ge\u00e7ti. Depremin yaralar\u0131n\u0131 sarmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan T\u00fcrkiye, bir yandan da Marmara\u2019daki b\u00fcy\u00fck depremi bekliyor. Marmara i\u00e7in deprem tekrarlama aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n doldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7eken Jeoloji Y\u00fcksek M\u00fchendisi Prof. Dr. Okan T\u00fcys\u00fcz, depremin zaman\u0131n\u0131 belirlemenin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. T\u00fcys\u00fcz, olas\u0131 Marmara depreminde yaln\u0131zca \u0130stanbul\u2019da 70 ila 80 bin yap\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6kece\u011fi ya da a\u011f\u0131r hasar alaca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli deprem felaketinin \u00fczerinden 1 y\u0131l ge\u00e7ti. Yurdun 10 kentinde b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u0131k\u0131ma yol a\u00e7an depremde, 53 binden fazla can yitirildi.

T\u00fcrkiye, depremin yaralar\u0131n\u0131 sarmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken bir yandan da\u00a0Marmara\u2019daki olas\u0131 depremi bekliyor.

Jeoloji Y\u00fcksek M\u00fchendisi Prof. Dr. Okan T\u00fcys\u00fcz,\u00a0Marmara\u00a0B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ni bekleyen deprem tehlikesi hakk\u0131nda Anadolu Ajans\u0131\u2019na bir yaz\u0131 kaleme ald\u0131.

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin co\u011frafi konumu ve jeolojik yap\u0131s\u0131 nedeniyle d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en aktif deprem ku\u015faklar\u0131ndan birinin \u00fczerinde yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7eken T\u00fcys\u00fcz, \u201c\u00dclkenin en \u00f6nemli deprem kaynaklar\u0131ndan biri olan yakla\u015f\u0131k 1600 kilometre boyundaki Kuzey Anadolu Fay\u0131 Bing\u00f6l Karl\u0131ova\u2019dan ba\u015flayarak bat\u0131ya do\u011fru Erzincan-Niksar-Tosya-Bolu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde uzan\u0131yor. Bolu\u2019dan bat\u0131ya do\u011fru kollara ayr\u0131lan fay\u0131n kuzey kolu D\u00fczce ve Sakarya\u2019dan ge\u00e7erek \u0130zmit K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nden denize giriyor ve Adalar a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan ge\u00e7ip Kumburgaz-Silivri-Tekirda\u011f a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131ndan ge\u00e7erek M\u00fcrefte\u2019de tekrar karaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p Saros K\u00f6rfezi\u2019nden Kuzey Ege ve Yunanistan\u2019a kadar uzan\u0131yor. \u00d6l\u00e7\u00fcmlere g\u00f6re bu kolda fay\u0131n 15-20 mm\/y\u0131l olan hareket h\u0131z\u0131 di\u011ferlerine g\u00f6re \u00e7ok daha fazla ve bu nedenle de \u201cAna Kol\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan bu kolda depremler daha s\u0131k oluyor. Bolu-Geyve-\u0130znik G\u00f6l\u00fc\u2019nden ge\u00e7en g\u00fcney kol ise Gemlik k\u00f6rfezinden Marmara sular\u0131 alt\u0131na girip sahile paralel uzan\u0131yor. Erdek\u2019te karaya \u00e7\u0131karak Edremit K\u00f6rfezi\u2019ne do\u011fru uzan\u0131yor. Bu kol da b\u00fcy\u00fck depremler \u00fcretiyor ancak daha geni\u015f zaman aral\u0131klar\u0131yla.\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

MARMARA \u0130\u00c7\u0130N S\u00dcRE DOLDU<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deprem\u00a0bilimindeki genel kural\u0131, \u201cBir yerde ge\u00e7mi\u015fte b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deprem olmu\u015fsa, belli bir s\u00fcre sonra orada yine benzer depremler olacakt\u0131r.\u201d s\u00f6zleriyle anlatan T\u00fcys\u00fcz, Marmara i\u00e7in deprem tekrarlama aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n doldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. T\u00fcys\u00fcz, \u201cHer ne kadar zaman\u0131n\u0131 belirlemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011filse de b\u00fcy\u00fck deprem olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksektir.\u201d ifadesini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

EN B\u00dcY\u00dcK HASARI KIYI \u015eER\u0130D\u0130 ALACAK<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Beklenen b\u00fcy\u00fck depremin ya\u015fanmas\u0131 halinde ortaya konan senaryolar\u0131n \u201ci\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131c\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yleyen Prof. Dr. T\u00fcys\u00fcz, en b\u00fcy\u00fck hasar\u0131 Marmara Denizi k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131ndaki yerle\u015fim yerlerinin g\u00f6rece\u011fini anlatt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Depremle m\u00fccadelede alt\u0131n kural\u0131n, depremin en \u015fiddetli olmas\u0131 beklenen yerlerde n\u00fcfusun ve sanayinin art\u0131r\u0131lmamas\u0131 ve bunlar\u0131n tehlikenin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu alanlardan uzak tutulmas\u0131 oldu\u011funu anlatan T\u00fcys\u00fcz,\u00a0\u0130stanbul\u2019da bu kural\u0131n hi\u00e7e say\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli deprem felaketinde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019deki kentlerin ve yap\u0131lar\u0131n depremlere ne derece diren\u00e7siz oldu\u011funun a\u011f\u0131r bir bedelle ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatan Prof. Dr. T\u00fcys\u00fcz, \u201cN\u00fcfusumuzun artmas\u0131na ve k\u0131rsaldan kente g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcn h\u0131zlanmas\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak 1950’li y\u0131llardan bu yana giderek ivmelenen plans\u0131z kentle\u015fme ve bir t\u00fcrl\u00fc geli\u015fmi\u015f \u00fclkeler seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lamayan yap\u0131 i\u015f\u00e7ili\u011fi ve denetimi, deprem diren\u00e7siz kent sorununun kar topu gibi giderek b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini sa\u011flarken b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde siyasi beklentilerle \u00e7\u0131kart\u0131lan onlarca imar aff\u0131 da afet diren\u00e7siz yap\u0131lar\u0131 \u00f6nlemek bir yana aksine te\u015fvik eden bir unsur olmu\u015ftur.\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

“\u0130STANBUL\u2019DA 70-80 B\u0130N B\u0130NA \u00c7\u00d6KECEK YA DA A\u011eIR HASAR ALACAK”<\/strong>

Marmara\u2019da beklenen b\u00fcy\u00fck depremin \u0130stanbul\u2019da 700 bin yap\u0131da hasara neden olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bunlar\u0131n 70-80 bin tanesinin ise ya \u00e7\u00f6kece\u011fini ya da a\u011f\u0131r hasar alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 anlatan T\u00fcys\u00fcz, \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:

\u201cMarmara i\u00e7erisinde olacak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir deprem sadece \u0130stanbul\u2019u de\u011fil Marmara B\u00f6lgesi\u2019ndeki hemen hemen t\u00fcm yerle\u015fim birimlerini etkileyecektir. Bu t\u00fcr bir depremin olas\u0131 etkileri farkl\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar taraf\u0131ndan ortaya konmu\u015ftur. Okan T\u00fcys\u00fcz ve Korhan Ertura\u00e7 taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki haritan\u0131n ortas\u0131nda siyah ile g\u00f6sterilen \u00e7izgi, k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenen fay\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. En k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoda bu fay\u0131n 7,5 civar\u0131 bir deprem \u00fcretmesi bekleniyor. Haritada siyah (\u015eiddet 10) ve k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 (\u015eiddet 9) ile g\u00f6sterilen alanlar depremde en b\u00fcy\u00fck sars\u0131nt\u0131y\u0131 dolay\u0131s\u0131 ile de en b\u00fcy\u00fck hasar\u0131 ya\u015famas\u0131 beklenen yerleri g\u00f6steriyor. Turuncu renk bir derece daha zay\u0131f \u015fiddeti ifade eder. Olas\u0131 depremde en yo\u011fun sars\u0131nt\u0131n\u0131n bu iki renk ile g\u00f6sterilen alanlarda ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir. Sar\u0131, mavi ve ye\u015fil alanlar giderek azalan \u015fiddet da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterir. Bu b\u00f6lgelerde ise \u00e7ok k\u00f6t\u00fc in\u015fa edilmi\u015f yap\u0131larda orta-zay\u0131f hasar beklenebilir. Haritan\u0131n sa\u011f\u0131nda hangi rengin hangi \u015fiddete (b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011fe de\u011fil) kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geldi\u011fi g\u00f6steriliyor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin 10 kentinde b\u00fcy\u00fck y\u0131k\u0131ma yol a\u00e7an Kahramanmara\u015f merkezli deprem felaketinin \u00fczerinden 1 y\u0131l ge\u00e7ti. Depremin yaralar\u0131n\u0131 sarmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan T\u00fcrkiye, bir yandan da Marmara\u2019daki<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":33788,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,12,185,15,411],"tags":[403,402,713,714,180,483,943,204],"class_list":["post-33786","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel","category-gundem","category-manset","category-turkiye","category-yerel","tag-sinankoyuncu-2","tag-vekilim","tag-deprem","tag-deprem-bolgesi","tag-istanbulchannel","tag-kanalistanbul","tag-prof-dr-okan-tuysuz","tag-turkiye"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33786","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33786"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33786\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33790,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33786\/revisions\/33790"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33788"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33786"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33786"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33786"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}