{"id":31302,"date":"2021-12-23T10:21:00","date_gmt":"2021-12-23T10:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberglobal.com.tr\/dunya\/avrupada-enerji-krizi-bir-rus-jeopolitik-projesi-150461"},"modified":"2021-12-23T10:21:00","modified_gmt":"2021-12-23T10:21:00","slug":"avrupada-enerji-krizi-bir-rus-jeopolitik-projesi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/2021\/12\/23\/avrupada-enerji-krizi-bir-rus-jeopolitik-projesi\/","title":{"rendered":"Avrupa’da enerji krizi! ‘Bir Rus jeopolitik projesi…’"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Pandemi \u00f6ncesinde ba\u015f g\u00f6steren, Covid-19 ile birlikte iyice ayyuka \u00e7\u0131kan ve Avrupa’y\u0131 olduk\u00e7a zorlayan enerji krizi, gev\u015feyecek gibi durmuyor. Sorunun kayna\u011f\u0131 olan do\u011fal gaz piyasas\u0131, arz\u0131n k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 olmas\u0131 nedeniyle olduk\u00e7a gergin durumda ve t\u00fcccarlar, Avrupa’n\u0131n so\u011fuk ge\u00e7ecek k\u0131\u015f\u0131 kesinti ya\u015famadan atlatabilecek kadar yak\u0131ta sahip olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u015f\u00fcphe ediyor.<\/p>\n

Rus gaz\u0131n\u0131n Bat\u0131’ya akt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ukrayna s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131nda Rus birliklerinin y\u0131\u011f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131 bu y\u00f6ndeki endi\u015feleri de art\u0131rmakta. \u00d6te yandan Avrupa’n\u0131n ana kayna\u011f\u0131 olan Rusya<\/a>‘dan gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck hacimli gaz, son aylarda fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine de neden oldu.<\/p>\n

Siyasi risk analizi \u015firketi Eurasia Group’ta enerji ve iklim direkt\u00f6r\u00fc olarak g\u00f6rev yapan Henning Gloystein, \u201cEkonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131rabilecek ve toplumda ihtilaf\u0131 tetikleyebilecek bir arz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 riski var\u201d<\/strong><\/span> ifadelerini kullanmakta. Gloystein, k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoda yer yer elektrik kesintilerinin ya\u015fanabilece\u011finin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor.<\/p>\n

Daha k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoyu da dile getiren Gloystein, durumun k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmesi halinde h\u00fck\u00fcmetlerin, haneleri \u0131s\u0131tmaya yetecek kadar gaza sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamak ad\u0131na fabrikalara gaz kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 kesme emri verebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

REKOR SEV\u0130YE!<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Hollanda’daki TTF ticaret merkezinde gaz, milyon BTU ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 60 dolar gibi rekor bir seviyeye ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu rekorun k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda etkili olan ise Rus gaz\u0131n\u0131 Almanya<\/a>‘ya g\u00f6t\u00fcren boru hatt\u0131nda ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n Do\u011fu’ya d\u00f6nd\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u00e7\u0131kan haberlerdi.<\/p>\n

Avrupa’da bu ay ikiye katlanan ve milyon BTU ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 60 dolara \u00e7\u0131kan fiyatlar\u0131 k\u0131yaslamak gerekirse; ABD’de ayn\u0131 miktarda gaz yakla\u015f\u0131k 4 dolara sat\u0131lmakta. Aradaki 15 kat fark AB<\/a>‘nin krizini anlamak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan dikkat \u00e7ekici.<\/p>\n

Gloystein’a g\u00f6re bu y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi, Moskova’n\u0131n gizli siyasi manevralar\u0131ndan ziyade f\u0131rsat\u00e7\u0131 ticaret faaliyetlerini yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Ancak uzmanlar, Avrupa’daki do\u011fal gaz piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n en ufak bir provokasyonda y\u00fckselmeye haz\u0131r oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fini korudu\u011funu da s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Rusya ile Bat\u0131 aras\u0131nda Ukrayna \u00f6zelinde ya\u015fanan gerilimler, Rusya’dan Almanya’ya uzanan devasa Nord Stream 2 boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131n zamanda a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve krize bir rahatlama getirmesini pek olas\u0131 k\u0131lm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Avrupa ve Avrasya \u0130li\u015fkilerinden Sorumlu ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Karen Donfried ise sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc gazetecilerle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede \u201cNord Stream 2, Avrupa-Atlantik toplulu\u011funun \u00f6nemli bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fini ve ulusal g\u00fcvenli\u011fini baltalayan bir Rus jeopolitik projesidir\u201d<\/strong><\/span> ifadesini kulland\u0131. Bu ifade Washington’\u0131n projeye olan net yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne seriyor.<\/p>\n

YEN\u0130 ALMAN H\u00dcK\u00dcMET\u0130YLE YAKIN TEMAS<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Donfried, ABD’nin Avrupa’n\u0131n enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek i\u00e7in yeni Alman h\u00fck\u00fcmetiyle yak\u0131n bir \u015fekilde \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da dile getirdi. Bu vesileyle, y\u00fcksek fiyatlar\u0131n cazibesine kap\u0131lan enerji \u015firketleri, s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011fal gaz ta\u015f\u0131yan gemilere rotalar\u0131n\u0131 Asya’dan Avrupa’ya de\u011fi\u015ftirmeleri talimat\u0131n\u0131 veriyor. Ancak bu ABD g\u00fcd\u00fcml\u00fc ge\u00e7i\u015f bile Rus gaz\u0131n\u0131n yerini almak veya krizi \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde hafifletmek i\u00e7in yeterli olmayabilir.<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rma firmas\u0131 Kpler’de analist olarak g\u00f6rev yapan Laura Page, \u201cPiyasa daha fazla s\u0131v\u0131 do\u011fal gaz\u0131n yolda oldu\u011funu biliyor. Ancak bunun herhangi bir etkisi yok gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor\u201d s\u00f6zleriyle durumu ayd\u0131nlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Gaz, elektrik \u00fcretmek i\u00e7in de \u00f6nemli bir yak\u0131t oldu\u011fundan, elektrik enerjisi fiyatlar\u0131 da Avrupa’da y\u00fckseliyor. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k da bu krizi ya\u015famakta. \u0130ngiltere’de Epex Spot borsas\u0131nda toptan sat\u0131\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcs\u00fc olan bir megavat-saatlik g\u00fcc\u00fcn fiyat\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 450 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu, y\u0131l boyunca kaydedilen ortalama elektrik fiyat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n

FATURALAR Y\u00dcZDE 50’DEN FAZLA Y\u00dcKSELEB\u0130L\u0130R<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Son aylar\u0131n y\u00fcksek gaz fiyatlar\u0131, pek \u00e7ok \u00fclkede haneler i\u00e7in enerji maliyetlerinde art\u0131\u015flara yol a\u00e7acak. Menkul k\u0131ymetler \u015firketi Investec’in analistlerinden Martin Young, m\u00fc\u015fterilerine verdi\u011fi yak\u0131n tarihli bir notta, tavan fiyatla korunan \u0130ngiliz t\u00fcketicilerin, ayarlamalar gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda faturalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 50’den fazla y\u00fckselebilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte son g\u00fcnlerde, \u00fc\u00e7 Frans\u0131z n\u00fckleer santralinin ar\u0131za kontrol\u00fc i\u00e7in kapat\u0131lmas\u0131 da elektrik piyasas\u0131n\u0131 daha da canland\u0131rd\u0131. Bir enerji firmas\u0131 olan Sembcorp’un tacirlerinden Mark Devine, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki k\u0131\u015f\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 veriyor: “Zamlar, bu k\u0131\u015f i\u00e7in yeni normal haline geliyor.”<\/p>\n

metin.aktasoglu@haberglobal.com.tr<\/a><\/p>\n

*Bu haberdeki bilgilerin \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131 The New York Times’ta “Europe\u2019s energy crunch continues as gas and power prices soar” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131nlanan makaleden derlenmi\u015ftir.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kaynak: Web \u00d6zel<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Do\u011fal gaz krizi hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar etkili bir \u015fekilde Avrupa’y\u0131 sars\u0131yor. K\u0131\u015f\u0131n gelmesiyle krizin hanelere de etki edece\u011finden korkulurken, konunun…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":31303,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31302","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31302","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31302"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31302\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31303"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31302"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31302"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31302"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}