{"id":30505,"date":"2021-12-14T07:40:00","date_gmt":"2021-12-14T07:40:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberglobal.com.tr\/ekonomi\/dolar-ve-euro-ne-kadar-14-aralik-doviz-kurlari-son-durum-148757"},"modified":"2021-12-14T07:40:00","modified_gmt":"2021-12-14T07:40:00","slug":"dolar-ve-euro-ne-kadar-14-aralik-doviz-kurlari-son-durum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/2021\/12\/14\/dolar-ve-euro-ne-kadar-14-aralik-doviz-kurlari-son-durum\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar ve Euro ne kadar? 14 Aral\u0131k d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131 son durum"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Yay\u0131nlanma: <\/span>

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\"Dolar <\/picture> <\/figure>\n

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Piyasalarda bu hafta TCMB dahil 20’ye yak\u0131n k\u00fcresel merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n alaca\u011f\u0131 para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131 izlenecek.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel piyasalarda Omicron varyant\u0131n\u0131n ekonomiye olabilecek etkileri ve Fed’in yar\u0131n sona erecek olan iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck toplant\u0131s\u0131nda para politikas\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya gitmesi ihtimali risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130ki g\u00fcnl\u00fck para politikas\u0131 toplant\u0131s\u0131 yar\u0131n sona erecek olan Fed’in, y\u00fcksek enflasyonla m\u00fccadele etmek i\u00e7in ayl\u0131k 120 milyar dolar<\/a> de\u011ferinde tahvil al\u0131m\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi program\u0131n\u0131n durdurulma takvimini \u00f6ne \u00e7ekece\u011fine i\u015faret etmesi bekleniyor. Bu hamlenin, Fed’in faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na da kap\u0131 a\u00e7mas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB), \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BOE) ve Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BOJ) da bu hafta toplant\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecek. Ba\u015fl\u0131ca merkez bankalar\u0131ndan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fcn de kendi para politikalar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya gitmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

MERKEZ BANKASI’NDAN FA\u0130Z \u0130ND\u0130R\u0130M\u0130 BEKLENT\u0130S\u0130<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u0130\u00e7eride ise TCMB’nin indirim beklenen faiz karar\u0131 haftan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddesi olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n

TCMB y\u00fcksek enflasyona ve TL’de art arda gelen sert de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131na ve benzer \u00fclkelerde s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen faiz indirimlerine devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

TCMB, enflasyonda y\u00fckseli\u015fe yol a\u00e7an unsurlar\u0131n ge\u00e7ici oldu\u011fu kan\u0131s\u0131yla son \u00fc\u00e7 ayda 400 baz puan faiz indirimi uygulam\u0131\u015f, son PPK karar\u0131nda bundan sonra para politikas\u0131nda kalan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 alan\u0131 Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda kullanmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fini ifade etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

TCMB y\u0131l\u0131n son Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu (PPK) toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 16 Aral\u0131k’ta a\u00e7\u0131klayacak ve beklenti politika faizini 100 baz puan indirmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

Reuters anketine kat\u0131lan 13 kurumun 12’sinin tahminleri haftal\u0131k repo faizinin 25 ile 200 baz puan indirilmesi aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131rken, medyan beklentiye g\u00f6re politika faizinin %14’e indirilmesi bekleniyor. Bir ekonomist politika faizinin sabit b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n

M\u00dcDAHALE 2-2.5 M\u0130LYAR DOLAR OLARAK HESAPLANIYOR<\/strong><\/h2>\n

TCMB yedi y\u0131l aradan sonra Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda, “D\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen sa\u011fl\u0131ks\u0131z fiyat olu\u015fumlar\u0131” nedeniyle piyasaya sat\u0131m y\u00f6n\u00fcnde m\u00fcdahalede bulunmaya ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

TCMB’nin 1, 3 ve 10 Aral\u0131k’taki m\u00fcdahalelerinde bankac\u0131lar\u0131n TCMB verilerinden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hesaplamaya g\u00f6re 2 milyar dolara yak\u0131n d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

D\u00fcnk\u00fc m\u00fcdahale ise d\u00f6rt i\u015flemcinin hesaplamas\u0131na g\u00f6re 2-2.5 milyar dolar ile ilk \u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fcdahalenin toplam\u0131ndan da fazla oldu.<\/p>\n

Bankac\u0131lar m\u00fcdahale verilerin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 g\u00fcnde daha net hesaplanabilir hale gelece\u011fini ancak toplam m\u00fcdahalenin 4 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekmi\u015f oldu\u011funu belirtiyorlar.<\/p>\n

Bir bankan\u0131n d\u00f6viz masas\u0131 i\u015flemcisi, “D\u00fcnk\u00fc i\u015flemlere bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda hacimlerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 lokallerden ciddi bir d\u00f6viz talebi geldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Sa\u011fl\u0131ks\u0131z fiyat olu\u015fumunu net \u015fekilde d\u00fcn g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Ancak d\u00fcn dikkat \u00e7eken bir husus d\u00f6viz cinsi varl\u0131klara TCMB m\u00fcdahalesi ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 anda lokallerin ciddi bir talebi olmas\u0131yd\u0131” dedi ve ekledi:<\/p>\n

“TCMB’nin faiz indirimlerinin devam edece\u011fi endi\u015fesi TL’de de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n da s\u00fcrece\u011fi beklentisini tetikliyor. Bu \u015fekilde TL i\u00e7in iyimser bir tahmin yapmak zor. Volatilite de \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli. D\u00fcn her a\u00e7\u0131dan olmamas\u0131 gereken piyasa g\u00f6rd\u00fck. San\u0131rsam bu nedenle TCMB de m\u00fcdahale miktar\u0131n\u0131 agresifle\u015ftirmek zorunda kald\u0131 diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum.”<\/p>\n

Son y\u0131llarda TCMB ve ekonomi y\u00f6netiminde s\u0131k s\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gidilmesi, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Tayyip Erdo\u011fan’\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz istekleri ile \u00fcretim, ihracat ve cari dengede fazla verilmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren ekonomik plan\u0131na y\u00f6nelik endi\u015feler sebebiyle T\u00fcrk liras\u0131n\u0131n dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki bu seneki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 14.99 rekoruna g\u00f6re %50’yi a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

TL’deki kay\u0131plar\u0131n %45 ile b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri, yani TCMB’nin ilk faiz indirimi sinyalinden itibaren ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

\u00dc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinde bulunan %21.31 seviyesindeki enflasyonda birka\u00e7 ay i\u00e7inde %30’a do\u011fru beklenen y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen TCMB’nin Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bir faiz indirimine daha gitme ihtimali TL’nin de\u011ferini tarihi dip seviyelere d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi toparlanmas\u0131na da engel oluyor.<\/p>\n

DOLAR VE EURO KURU NE KADAR?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Dolar\/TL bu sabah g\u00fcne 14 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda ba\u015flad\u0131. Saat 12:37 s\u0131ralar\u0131nda Dolar kuru 14,26 seviyelerinde, Euro<\/a> ise 16.13 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor.<\/p>\n

ANLIK VER\u0130LER \u0130\u00c7\u0130N TIKLAYIN<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n

H\u00fck\u00fcmet ise enflasyonda “ge\u00e7ici” y\u00fckseli\u015f ya\u015fanabilece\u011fini, ancak k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 beklenen asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 di\u011fer tedbirlerle bunun halka etkisinin telafi edilece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Hazine ve Maliye Bakan\u0131 Nureddin Nebati hafta sonu i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131da “serbest piyasadan geri ad\u0131m\u0131n asla s\u00f6z konusu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131” belirtirken farkl\u0131 sekt\u00f6rlerin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ve sorunlar\u0131 da dinledi. Nebati ayr\u0131ca Habert\u00fcrk’e yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n beklenmemesi gerekti\u011fini de s\u00f6yledi. Nebati “fazi art\u0131rmamakta kararl\u0131y\u0131z” dedi.<\/p>\n

TAHV\u0130L FA\u0130ZLER\u0130 SERT Y\u00dcKSEL\u0130\u015eTE<\/strong><\/h2>\n

TCMB’nin politika faizi ile benzer seyirde hareket etmesi beklenen Hazine’nin bor\u00e7lanma maliyetleri ise belirgin art\u0131\u015f e\u011filimleni s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Hazine’nin d\u00fcnk\u00fc 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k sabit kuponlu bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131nda ortalama bile\u015fik faiz %21.36 oldu. Hazine bug\u00fcn ise 2 y\u0131l vadeli kira sertifikas\u0131n\u0131n do\u011frudan sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yapacak, 9 y\u0131l vadeli T\u00dcFE’ye endeksli tahvil ihalesi d\u00fczenleyecek. Hazine Aral\u0131k ay\u0131 ve 2021 bor\u00e7lanmas\u0131n\u0131 bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ihaleler ile tamamlayacak.<\/p>\n

tahvil getirilerine daha uzun vadede bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ise 10 y\u0131l vadeli g\u00f6sterge tahvilin bile\u015fik faizinin y\u0131l ba\u015f\u0131ndaki yakla\u015f\u0131k %12 civar\u0131ndan %21’in \u00fczerine kadar y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Reuters<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dolar\/TL, Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n 2-2.5 milyar Dolar oldu\u011fu tahmin edilen d\u00fcnk\u00fc do\u011frudan d\u00f6viz sat\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc m\u00fcdahalesi ile 14.99 zirvesinden 14’\u00fcn alt\u0131na…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30506,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,185],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30505","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30505","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30505"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30505\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30506"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30505"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30505"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30505"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}