{"id":20922,"date":"2021-10-18T06:10:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-18T06:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberglobal.com.tr\/ekonomi\/dolartl-929-ile-yeni-zirvede-iste-dolari-yukselten-gelismeler-ve-son-durum-138805"},"modified":"2021-10-18T06:10:00","modified_gmt":"2021-10-18T06:10:00","slug":"dolar-tl-yeni-zirvede-18-ekim-dolar-ve-euro-son-durum","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/2021\/10\/18\/dolar-tl-yeni-zirvede-18-ekim-dolar-ve-euro-son-durum\/","title":{"rendered":"Dolar\/TL yeni zirvede (18 Ekim Dolar ve Euro son durum)"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Yay\u0131nlanma: <\/span>

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\"Dolar\/TL <\/picture> <\/figure>\n

<\/a> <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

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TCMB’nin PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131 20-21 Ekim’de ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilek karar 21 Ekim saat 1400’da a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Reuters anketi hen\u00fcz sonu\u00e7lanmasa da beklentiler indirimlerin devam edebilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

Bir i\u015flemci, “Piyasada indirim fiyatlamas\u0131 var, net bir tutar s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil ama 25-50 baz puan aras\u0131 indirim fiyatlarda diyebiliriz. \u0130ndirim yap\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, 100 baz puanl\u0131k indirimlerin devam edece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen de var” dedi.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar d\u00fcnyan\u0131n pek \u00e7ok yerinde merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma y\u00f6nl\u00fc ad\u0131mlar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi, T\u00fcrkiye’de ise enflasyonun iki bu\u00e7uk y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine y\u00fckseldi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde TCMB’nin ge\u00e7en ay 100 baz puanla ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 faiz indirimlerine devam edip etmeyece\u011fini yak\u0131ndan izliyorlar.<\/p>\n

TCMB’nin politika faizi \u015fu an %18 seviyesinde bulunuyor. Enflasyon ise %20’ye do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek 2.5 y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinde.<\/p>\n

DOLAR VE EURO KURU<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Dolar<\/a>\/TL bu sabah yeni rekor olan 9.29’u g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra saat 09:07’de 9.2850\/9.2900 seviyesindeydi. Euro\/TL ayn\u0131 saatte 10.7555\/10.7622, sepet baz\u0131nda TL 10.0227\/10.0288 seviyesindeydi. T\u00fcrkiye’nin 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k CDS’leri ise Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Nisan ortas\u0131ndan bu yana yeni zirveye yak\u0131n olan 446\/450 baz puandan kapand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Erdo\u011fan, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u015eahap Kavc\u0131o\u011flu ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fckten sonra ayn\u0131 gece faiz kararlar\u0131nda oy hakk\u0131 bulunan TCMB ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Semih T\u00fcmen, U\u011fur K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ile PPK \u00fcyesi Abdullah Yava\u015f’\u0131 g\u00f6revden ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

CHP Genel Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Kemal K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu da Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ekibiyle beraber TCMB’ye giderek, Ba\u015fkan \u015eahap Kavc\u0131o\u011flu ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Kavc\u0131o\u011flu, g\u00f6revlerine son verilen PPK \u00fcyelerinin ayr\u0131lmas\u0131 ile ilgili olarak, ayr\u0131lanlar\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n kendi kararlar\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirterek, bunu “bir g\u00f6rev de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi” olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131. K\u0131l\u0131\u00e7daro\u011flu ise d\u00f6vizin y\u00fckselmesi ile ilgili endi\u015felerini ifade ettiklerini s\u00f6yledi ve “Zam ya\u011fmuru gelecek, her alanda ciddi sorunlar \u00e7\u0131kabilir” dedi.<\/p>\n

TCMB’nin Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki faiz indirimi piyasalarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kredi faizleriyle ekonomide canl\u0131l\u0131k yaratmak i\u00e7in yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyordu. Ancak TCMB verilerine g\u00f6re faiz indiriminden bu yana ticari kredi faizleri d\u00fc\u015fmedi aksine y\u00fckseldi. Ticari kredi faizi ge\u00e7en hafta da 0.1 puan art\u0131\u015fla %21.1 oldu.<\/p>\n

Reuters’da bu ay yay\u0131mlanan bir analizde de akademisyenler uzun vadeli politikalara odaklanmadan sadece “g\u00fcn\u00fc kurtarmak” ad\u0131na al\u0131nan kararlarla kal\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz ortam\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekmi\u015flerdi.<\/p>\n

Ayn\u0131 analizde dikkat \u00e7ekildi\u011fi \u00fczere T\u00fcrkiye’nin 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k g\u00f6sterge tahvil getirisi de indirim \u00f6ncesi i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc %18’e yak\u0131n seviyelerden ge\u00e7en hafta %20’ye kadar y\u00fckseldi ve TCMB indirimlerin piyasa fiyatlamalar\u0131na yans\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Dolar\/TL’deki y\u00fckseli\u015fe TCMB’nin para politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler ve dolardaki k\u00fcresel de\u011fer kazanc\u0131 birlikte etkili konumda. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f da enflasyon endi\u015felerini sadece T\u00fcrkiye’de de\u011fil t\u00fcm d\u00fcnyada tetikliyor.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar iktisadi gerek\u00e7elerle a\u00e7\u0131klamakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 faiz indirimlerinin devam\u0131 i\u00e7in politik bask\u0131 oldu\u011fundan da endi\u015feliler. Bu belirsizlikler de TL’de sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131p enflasyon beklentilerini y\u00fckselterek TL’de de\u011fer kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n devam edece\u011fi bir k\u0131s\u0131r d\u00f6ng\u00fc olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

Sadece Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri %10’un \u00fczerinde de\u011fer kaybeden TL’de kay\u0131plar s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu bile yarataca\u011f\u0131 iki puan\u0131n \u00fczerinde ge\u00e7i\u015fkenlik etkisiyle T\u00dcFE’yi %20’nin \u00fczerine tek ba\u015f\u0131na y\u00fckseltebilecek bir neden. Enflasyon %19.58 ile iki bu\u00e7uk y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesinde bulunuyor. TL y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan beri ise dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ise yakla\u015f\u0131k %20 de\u011fer kaybetti.<\/p>\n

TCMB ise enflasyondaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin ge\u00e7ici oldu\u011funu, enflasyonun yeniden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendine girece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Bir\u00e7ok bankac\u0131 TCMB’nin faiz indirimlerinin devam etmesi halinde ani faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede ihtiya\u00e7 duyulabilece\u011fi endi\u015fesini dile getiriyor.<\/p>\n

K\u00dcRESEL P\u0130YASALAR<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Petrol fiyatlar\u0131, ABD ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn yedi y\u0131l\u0131n ve Brent ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131l\u0131n yeni zirvesine t\u0131rmanmas\u0131yla, k\u00fcresel enerji k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda son zamanlardaki y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek son y\u0131llar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar her ne kadar y\u00fckselen enflasyon nedeniyle Fed’in \u00f6nceki tahminlerden daha erken faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidece\u011fini fiyatlam\u0131\u015f olsalar da art\u0131k di\u011fer merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n faizleri Fed’den daha \u00e7abuk y\u00fckseltebilece\u011fini beklentileri aras\u0131na almaya ba\u015flad\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

Dolar endeksi yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n beklentilerindeki bu de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe paralel olarak ge\u00e7en hafta g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bu y\u0131lki seviyelerden %0.6 geriledi.<\/p>\n

Bankac\u0131lar, yabanc\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n zaten olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerdeki T\u00fcrkiye varl\u0131klar\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flemlerine, lokallerin ise ge\u00e7en haftaya kadar dolar\/TL’deki devam eden y\u00fckseli\u015fte 260 milyar dolarl\u0131k d\u00f6viz cinsi varl\u0131klar\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131na devam ettiklerini belirtiyorlard\u0131. Bankac\u0131lara g\u00f6re lokaller de ge\u00e7en hafta itibar\u0131yla yeniden d\u00f6viz birikimlerini azaltmay\u0131 b\u0131rakt\u0131lar s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar yapmaya da ba\u015flad\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

Kaynak: Reuters<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dolar\/TL, enflasyonun y\u00fckseldi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde faiz indirimlerine ba\u015flayan Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (TCMB) bu hafta da indirimlere devam edebilece\u011fi endi\u015fesiyle 9.29’a kadar…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":20923,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20922","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20922","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20922"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20922\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20923"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}