{"id":19348,"date":"2021-10-11T14:38:00","date_gmt":"2021-10-11T14:38:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/haberglobal.com.tr\/gundem\/secim-baraji-dustu-akillara-ayni-soru-geldi-emanet-oylar-ne-olacak-137720"},"modified":"2021-10-11T14:38:00","modified_gmt":"2021-10-11T14:38:00","slug":"secim-baraji-dustu-akillara-ayni-soru-geldi-emanet-oylar-ne-olacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/2021\/10\/11\/secim-baraji-dustu-akillara-ayni-soru-geldi-emanet-oylar-ne-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Se\u00e7im baraj\u0131 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ak\u0131llara ayn\u0131 soru geldi: Emanet oylar ne olacak?"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

G\u00d6KHAN KAM – MET\u0130N AKTA\u015eO\u011eLU<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Se\u00e7im tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 zaman zaman g\u00fcndeme geliyor. \u0130ttifaklar, muhtemel adaylar, se\u00e7imin tarihi gibi konular kulislerde, bas\u0131nda, sokakta ve halk aras\u0131nda tart\u0131\u015f\u0131lmakta. \u0130ktidara g\u00f6re \u015fu anki ajanda, Haziran 2023’\u00fc i\u015faret ediyor. Bu s\u0131cak tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yan\u0131nda etkilerini ve sonucunu se\u00e7imden sonra g\u00f6rece\u011fimiz bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik de dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/p>\n

Cumhur \u0130ttifak\u0131 m\u00fczakereler sonucunda se\u00e7im baraj\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 10’dan y\u00fczde 7’ye \u00e7ekilmesinde uzla\u015fmaya vard\u0131. 2 Eyl\u00fcl’de AK Parti<\/a> S\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc \u00d6mer \u00c7elik \u201cY\u00fczde 7 se\u00e7im baraj\u0131 netle\u015fmi\u015ftir, Cumhur \u0130ttifak\u0131’n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 budur\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

‘EMANET OYLAR’ MESELES\u0130<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Se\u00e7im baraj\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi ak\u0131llara ’emanet oylar’ tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 da getiriyor. \u201cDestekledi\u011fim partinin baraj\u0131 ge\u00e7ece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmedi\u011fim i\u00e7in ikinci bir partiye oy veriyorum\u201d ya da \u201cDestekledi\u011fim parti zaten baraj\u0131 ge\u00e7iyor. Baraj\u0131 ge\u00e7meye yak\u0131n, ba\u015fka bir partiye oy veriyorum\u201d fikirleriyle ’emanet oylar’ kavram\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mlayabiliriz.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f almak i\u00e7in ileti\u015fime ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz baz\u0131 siyaset bilimciler ise emanet oy ve y\u00fczde 7 baraj\u0131 ili\u015fkisinin ilk sonucunu g\u00f6rmeden g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f veremeyeceklerini belirtti. \u00d6te yandan tart\u0131\u015fmalar s\u00fcrecinde g\u00fcndeme gelen \u201cdaralt\u0131lm\u0131\u015f b\u00f6lge\u201d ve \u201cittifak i\u00e7i baraj\u201d konular\u0131 ise rafa kalkt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Marmara \u00dcniversitesi \u0130leti\u015fim Fak\u00fcltesi \u00d6\u011fr. \u00dcyesi ve siyaset bilimci Prof. Dr. Bar\u0131\u015f Doster, HDP<\/a>‘nin baraj\u0131 ge\u00e7mesi i\u00e7in CHP<\/a>‘den HDP’ye giden oylar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda dikkat \u00e7eken bir emanet oy bulunmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor.<\/p>\n

Prof. Dr. Doster, “CHP, \u0130Y\u0130 Parti’ye grup kurmas\u0131 i\u00e7in parlamento i\u00e7erisinde milletvekili verdi ancak CHP’den \u0130Y\u0130 Parti’ye \u00e7ok fazla \u00f6d\u00fcn\u00e7 oy gitti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnm\u00fcyorum. \u0130Y\u0130 Parti’nin kendi oyu zaten baraj atlat\u0131yordu” ifadelerini kullanmakta.<\/p>\n

‘PART\u0130 S\u0130STEM\u0130N\u0130 PAR\u00c7ALIYOR…’<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Bununla birlikte k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck partiler d\u00fc\u015fen barajdan ziyade ittifaklar se\u00e7ene\u011fi \u00fcst\u00fcnde duruyor. Sabah gazetesi yazar\u0131 Burhanettin Duran, AK Parti S\u00f6zc\u00fcs\u00fc \u00d6mer \u00c7elik’in a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n ertesi g\u00fcn\u00fc, 3 Eyl\u00fcl’de yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaz\u0131da bu duruma \u015f\u00f6yle de\u011finmi\u015fti:<\/p>\n

\u201cY\u00fczde 1 hatta 0,5 alabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen siyaset\u00e7iler parti kurarak y\u00fczde 50 art\u0131 1’e ula\u015fmada pazarl\u0131k yapma imkanlar\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu da parti sisteminin par\u00e7alanmas\u0131n\u0131 getiriyor.\u201d<\/p>\n

Prof. Dr. Doster ise bu meseleye “Pek \u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck parti b\u00fcy\u00fck partilerle ittifak yapt\u0131. Bir \u015fekilde genel ba\u015fkanlar\u0131n\u0131 parlamentoya sokmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131lar” diyerek dikkat \u00e7ekerken “\u0130lkesel olarak baraj\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi olumlu ama y\u00fczde 7 oy k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck partiler i\u00e7in y\u00fcksek. E\u011fer y\u00fczde 5’e inseydi k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck partiler bir araya gelip daha \u00fcmitli olabilirlerdi” ifadelerini kullan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Duran yaz\u0131s\u0131nda “2018 se\u00e7imlerinde 8 parti se\u00e7ime girmi\u015fti, halen 13 parti Meclis’te temsil ediliyor. Onlarca partinin meclise girmesi demokrasinin kalitesini art\u0131rm\u0131yor. Aksine ki\u015fi odakl\u0131 b\u00f6l\u00fcnmeler ve s\u0131k\u0131 koltuk pazarl\u0131klar\u0131 gibi yozla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 etkide bulunuyor. Siyasal sistemimizin uzun vadeli istikrar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ittifak i\u00e7i baraj\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmakta fayda var” ifadesini kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

H\u00dcLLEY\u0130 \u00d6NLEMEZ!<\/strong><\/h3>\n

AK Parti ise h\u00fclleleri \u00f6nlemeyece\u011fi, baraj\u0131 a\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6ren partinin, b\u00fcy\u00fck parti listesinden se\u00e7ime girebilece\u011fi gerek\u00e7esiyle ittifak i\u00e7i baraj sorusuna so\u011fuk bak\u0131yordu. Sonu\u00e7 olarak bu se\u00e7enek olmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Peki emanet oylar nereye gidecek? Prof. Dr. Doster CHP’den HDP’ye giden oylar\u0131n geri d\u00f6nece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini \u015f\u00f6yle destekliyor:<\/p>\n

“Bu oylar\u0131n geri d\u00f6nece\u011fini, y\u00fczde 7 baraj\u0131nda HDP’nin emanet oya ihtiya\u00e7 duymayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Ahmet Davuto\u011flu (Gelecek Partisi) ve Ali Babacan (DEVA Partisi) y\u00fczde 7’nin yak\u0131n\u0131ndan bile ge\u00e7emez. Bunlar baraja yak\u0131n olmad\u0131klar\u0131 i\u00e7in emanet oy veren de olmayacakt\u0131r.”<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte Prof. Dr. Doster, “K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck partilerdeki emanet oylar da geri d\u00f6nmez” ifadelerini kullan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

gokhan.kam@haberglobal.com.tr<\/a> <\/p>\n

metin.aktasoglu@haberglobal.com.tr<\/a>  <\/p>\n

*Sabah, Sputnik, BBC, AA<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kaynak: Web \u00d6zel<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Se\u00e7im sisteminde ya\u015fanan de\u011fi\u015fiklik ve se\u00e7im baraj\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 10’dan y\u00fczde 7’ye inmesi tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n yan\u0131nda ak\u0131llara bir soru da getirdi. Emanet…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":19349,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,185],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19348","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-manset"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19348","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19348"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19348\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/19349"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19348"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19348"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19348"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}