KOAL\u0130SYON PAZARLIKLARI<\/strong><\/h2>\nBBC’nin Avrupa’dan sorumlu edit\u00f6r\u00fc Paul Kirby, ba\u015f\u0131ndan beri se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n belirleyici olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bilindi\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131p Ba\u015fbakan Merkel’in koalisyon kurulana kadar g\u00f6revde kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, koalisyon m\u00fczakerelerinin de Noel’e kadar uzayabilece\u011fi s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Merkel’in halefi, Avrupa’n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomilerinden Almanya’y\u0131 gelecek d\u00f6rt y\u0131l y\u00f6netecek ve g\u00fcndemin ba\u015f maddeleri aras\u0131nda da iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi yer alacak.<\/p>\n
\u0130ktidarda yaln\u0131zca muhafazak\u00e2rlar ve Sosyal Demokratlar’\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fc yok. Koalisyon pazarl\u0131klar\u0131nda tav\u0131rlar\u0131 belirleyici olacak olan Ye\u015filler Partisi ve liberal H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti’nin (FDP) de g\u00f6z\u00fc iktidar\u0131n par\u00e7as\u0131 olmakta.<\/p>\n
\u0130ki parti de sand\u0131kta \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck ba\u015far\u0131 elde etmedi ama oy oranlar\u0131n\u0131n toplam\u0131 t\u00fcm oylar\u0131n d\u00f6rtte birine denk geliyor. Bu da, her iki b\u00fcy\u00fck partiyi de ileriye ta\u015f\u0131yabilecekleri anlam\u0131na geliyor.
\u00dclkenin en b\u00fcy\u00fck iki partisi Sosyal Demokrat Parti (SPD) ve Hristiyan Birlik partilerinin (CDU\/CSU) “b\u00fcy\u00fck koalisyon” kurmamas\u0131 halinde, yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmet i\u00e7in en az \u00fc\u00e7 partinin bir araya gelmesi gerekecek.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcm partiler, a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fc\u0131 ve Avrupa Birli\u011fi kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 Almanya \u0130\u00e7in Alternatif (AfD) Partisi’yle birlikte \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu durumda partilerin renklerini sembolize eden koalisyon se\u00e7enekleri \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n‘Trafik I\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131’: Sosyal Demokrat Parti-Ye\u015filler Partisi-H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti koalisyonu
‘K\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131-k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131-ye\u015fil’: Sosyal Demokrat Parti-Ye\u015filler Partisi-Sol Parti koalisyonu (Ancak Sol Parti’nin y\u00fczde 5 baraj\u0131n\u0131 a\u015f\u0131p Federal Meclis’e girip giremeyece\u011fi hen\u00fcz netle\u015fmedi)
‘Jamaika’: Hristiyan Birlik partileri, Ye\u015filler Partisi, H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti koalisyonu.
SPD ve CDU\/CSU’nun yanlar\u0131na Ye\u015filler Partisi’nin de almalar\u0131 halinde ‘Kenya’, liberal H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti’yi de almalar\u0131 halinde ‘Almanya’ koalisyonu g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.
Ye\u015filler Partisi, Sosyal Demokrat Parti’ye; liberal H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti de Hristiyan Birlik partilerine daha yak\u0131n.<\/p>\n
Ancak iki blok da koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kuram\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Sosyal Demokrat Parti de Hristiyan Birlik partileri de yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin liderliklerinde kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyor ve birlikte h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurmaya mevcut \u015fartlarda s\u0131cak bakm\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ye\u015filler Partisi, Hristiyan Birlik partileri ve H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti’yle; ya da H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti, Sosyal Demokrat Parti ve Ye\u015filler Partisi’yle anla\u015f\u0131rsa koalisyon d\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fc de \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f olacak.
Ye\u015filler Partisi’nin e\u015f ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve ba\u015fbakan aday\u0131 Annalena Baerbock, ‘muhte\u015fem bir sonu\u00e7 ald\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131’ s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Annalena Baerbock, Almanya’n\u0131n yeni bir ba\u015flang\u0131ca ve ‘iklim h\u00fck\u00fcmetine’ ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n
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<\/p>\n
GEN\u00c7LER K\u0130ME OY VERD\u0130?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\u0130lk se\u00e7im projeksiyonlar\u0131na g\u00f6re 30 ya\u015f alt\u0131 se\u00e7menlerde iki parti \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Ye\u015filler Partisi ve H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti (FDP) gen\u00e7lerin oylar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 40’tan fazlas\u0131n\u0131 alm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
FDP ve Ye\u015filler, se\u00e7im sonras\u0131 gelecek koalisyon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde en \u00e7ok s\u00f6z sahibi olacak partiler olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Sosyal Demokratlar\u0131n gen\u00e7 oylar\u0131nda yeterince ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmamas\u0131 ise baz\u0131 kesimler taraf\u0131ndan \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
ZDF ve Forschungsgruppe Wahlen’in projeksiyonlar\u0131na g\u00f6re gen\u00e7 se\u00e7menin oy da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 \u015f\u00f6yle:<\/p>\n
Ye\u015filler – Y\u00fczde 22
H\u00fcr Demokrat Parti (FDP) – Y\u00fczde 20
Sosyal Demokrat Parti (SPD) – Y\u00fczde 17
Hristiyan Birlik Partileri (CDU\/CSU) – Y\u00fczde 11
Sol Parti – Y\u00fczde 8
Almanya i\u00e7in Alternatif Partisi (AfD) – Y\u00fczde 8<\/p>\n
YE\u015e\u0130LLER PART\u0130S\u0130’N\u0130N Y\u00dcKSEL\u0130\u015e\u0130<\/strong><\/h2>\nSe\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131nda bir ara Ye\u015filler ve adaylar\u0131 Annalena Baerbock’in oy oran\u0131 anketlerde y\u00fczde 28 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Ama ilk projeksiyonlar partinin oy oran\u0131n y\u00fczde 14,8 oldu\u011funu ve FDP’nin \u00fcst\u00fcnde \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131raya yerle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Yine de daha \u00f6nce genel se\u00e7imlerde (2009’da) oy oran\u0131 yaln\u0131zca y\u00fczde 10’un biraz \u00fcst\u00fcnde \u00e7\u0131kan bir parti i\u00e7in bu sonu\u00e7lar olduk\u00e7a y\u00fcksek. Bu da iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin Almanlar i\u00e7in ne kadar \u00f6nemli hale geldi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Ye\u015filler Partisi daha \u00f6nce h\u00fck\u00fcmetin k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck orta\u011f\u0131 olmu\u015ftu ama hi\u00e7bir zaman ald\u0131klar\u0131 destek bu seviyeye \u00e7\u0131kmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ye\u015filler Partisi’nin d\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri bakan\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rev yapan ve Almanya’da 1998-2005 aras\u0131nda merkez soldan iktidar olan Gerhard Schr\u00f6der d\u00f6neminde ba\u015fbakan yard\u0131mc\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da yapan merkez sol \u00fcyesi Joschka Fischer’i hat\u0131rl\u0131yor olabilirsiniz.<\/p>\n
DAHA \u0130Y\u0130S\u0130 OLAB\u0130L\u0130RD\u0130<\/h2>\n
Sonu\u00e7lar iyi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de anketlerdeki oranlara g\u00f6re d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kal\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
BBC’ye konu\u015fan Ye\u015filler Partisi milletvekili ve partinin d\u0131\u015f ili\u015fkilerden sorumlu \u00fcyesi Omid Nouripour ‘partinin daha iyi yapabilece\u011fini’ ama halk\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fcndeki alg\u0131lar\u0131 hen\u00fcz y\u0131kamad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Nouripour, “Kampanya yaparken ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z en komik durum, halk\u0131n gelip size yasaklar partisi oldu\u011funuzu s\u00f6ylemesi oluyor. ‘Arabalar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131, u\u00e7aklar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131, k\u00f6pr\u00fclerimizi, veya nehirlerimizi her neyse elimizden almak istiyorsunuz’, diyorlar. Bu y\u0131kmam\u0131z gereken bir kli\u015fe” dedi ve ekledi: “Son haftalarda iyi i\u015f \u00e7\u0131karamad\u0131k. Bu daha sonra konu\u015fmam\u0131z gereken hatalar\u0131m\u0131zdan biri. Ama g\u00fcn\u00fcn sonunda bu kli\u015feler sonsuza dek kalmayacak ve \u00fcstelerinden gelece\u011fiz.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Almanya’n\u0131n tarihi se\u00e7iminde sonu\u00e7lar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Angela Merkel’in partisi gelmi\u015f ge\u00e7mi\u015f en k\u00f6t\u00fc performans\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi, Sosyal Demokrat Parti (SPD)…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":16505,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dunya"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16504"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16504\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16505"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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<\/p>\n![](\"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/almanyada-tarihi-sonuclar-merkelin-partisi-gelmis-gecmis-en-kotu-performansi-gosterdi.webp\")
<\/p>\n![](\"https:\/\/istanbulchannel.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/almanyada-tarihi-sonuclar-merkelin-partisi-gelmis-gecmis-en-kotu-performansi-gosterdi-1.webp\")
<\/h2>\n